Never On A Friday

When government wants to bury an embarrassing news release, they release it on a Friday and hopes no one notices.

Well, the BC government announced the preferred “proponent team” for the Broadway subway and the Surrey Expo Line extensions today, Friday, July 17.

Interesting!

I will not go into the pitfalls of the projects as readers of this blog know well the ills TransLink’s rapid transit project, but two items sticks out like a sore thumb.

The province will be liable for cost overruns on the Broadway Subway Project.

TransLink will be on the hook if there are cost overruns on the Surrey Langley SkyTrain project.

This is a red flag which indicates to me the certainty of cost overruns on both projects! With subways, this could mean very large cost over runs. It also opens the door for cut-and-cover subway construction, a la Cambie St.

With Covid-19, the public are beginning to question the $2.83 billion subway under Broadway and the Surrey extension and one wonders if the Horgan NDP are getting nervous with this project, especially when it has been pointed out that there isn’t the ridership on both routes to justify a $4.6 billion investment. TransLink even fired their two top planners for pointing this out publicly!

For the NDP, this project is all about good union jobs (just like the FastFerry debacle) and for the cities of Vancouver and Surrey, it is about using “rapid transit” as a driver to densify the corridors and build towers to satisfy Metro Vancouver’s politicians developer friends. Wealthy developer friends are very important at election time.

For the transit customer, higher fares and a more fragmented transit system, requiring even more transfers to get to ones destination and for the taxpayer, higher taxes, user fees and more.

The one item that this massive project is not about is designing an affordable, user-friendly transit system for the Metro Vancouver and is why the NDP wanted to bury this announcement on a Friday.

Good news is never released on a Friday.

 

B.C. government announces who will design, build, and partially finance Broadway Subway Project

This time, SNC-Lavalin Inc. is not going to play a role

by Charlie Smith on July 17th, 2020

  • This is an artist's rendering of South Granville Station, which is being built on the northeast corner of Granville Street and West Broadway.
  • This is an artist’s rendering of South Granville Station, which is being built on the northeast corner of Granville Street and West Broadway.

The most expensive infrastructure project in Vancouver history has moved one step closer to being developed.

Today, the B.C. government announced that a preferred proponent team has been chosen to design, build, and partially finance the $2.83-billion Broadway Subway Project.

It’s a 5.7-kilometre westward extension of the Millennium Line from VCC-Clark Station to Arbutus Street.

According to a government news release, the Acciona-Ghella Joint Venture will enter into final contract negotiations with the Transportation Investment Corporation.

The TIC is a subsidiary of the B.C. Transportation Financing Authority.

Mount Pleasant Station will be on the southwest corner of East Broadway and Main Street.
Mount Pleasant Station will be on the southwest corner of East Broadway and Main Street.

SNC-Lavalin not on finalist’s list

The Acciona-Ghella Joint Venture includes the following companies:

  • Proponent: Acciona Infrastructure Canada Inc./Ghella Canada Ltd.
  • Design-build contractor: Acciona Infrastructure Canada Inc./Ghella Canada Ltd.
  • Design contractor: IBI Group Professional Services (Canada) Inc./Dialog BC Architecture Engineering Interior Design Planning Inc./Mott MacDonald Canada Ltd./Ingenieria Especializada Obra Civil e Industrial, S.A.
  • Systems integration contractor: Acciona Infrastructure Canada Inc./Ghella Canada Ltd./Parsons Inc.
  • Tunnel contractor: Acciona Infrastructure Canada Inc./Ghella Canada Ltd.

Montreal-based engineering giant SNC-Lavalin Group has been a key player in four previous rapid-transit projects in Metro Vancouver.

SNC-Lavalin is a key partner in InTransit B.C., which built and operates the Canada Line. It also headed the consortium that developed the Evergreen Extension.

In addition, SNC-Lavalin took over the company that completed the Expo Line. And it was part of the team behind development of the Millennium Line.

However, its name does not appear on the list of companies released today.

Four SNC-Lavalin companies were all part of West 9th Partners, which was one of three finalists.

In December, SNC-Lavalin Construction Inc., a subsidiary of SNC-Lavalin Group, pleaded guilty to one count of fraud in connection with a bribery scandal in Libya from 2001 to 2011.

It paid a $280-million fine and was subject to a three-year probation order.

The other losing proponent was Broadway Connect, which included Dragados Canada Inc,  Aecon Infrastructure Management Inc, Aecon Concessions, and Aecon Group.

Construction of the Broadway Subway Project is expected to begin later this year and will start carrying passengers in 2025.

Fairview VGH-Station will provide easy access to Vancouver General Hospital and the central section of the Broadway Corridor.

Separate owners of two new SkyTrain lines

The Broadway Subway Project is one of two large rapid-transit projects being built in Metro Vancouver.

The other is the first phase of the Surrey Langley SkyTrain project. It will be built from King George Station alongside the Fraser Highway to 166 Street in the Fleetwood area of Surrey.

The first phase of that project is expected to cost $1.6 billion, with the final bill after the second phase tagged at $3.1 billion.

Even though the federal and provincial governments have provided funding to ensure that both projects can be built, they will each have separate owners.

The province will be liable for cost overruns on the Broadway Subway Project.

TransLink will be on the hook if there are cost overruns on the Surrey Langley SkyTrain project.

The funding deal for the Broadway Subway Project came together in September 2018, prompting the key decision makers (then Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson, Justin Trudeau, then Surrey mayor Linda Hepner, Premier John Horgan, and TransLink CEO Kevin Desmond) to get on a transit vehicle for a photo-op.
The funding deal for the Broadway Subway Project came together in September 2018, prompting the key decision makers (then Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson, Justin Trudeau, then Surrey mayor Linda Hepner, Premier John Horgan, and TransLink CEO Kevin Desmond) to get on a transit vehicle for a photo-op.
Fairview VGH-Station will provide easy access to Vancouver General Hospital and the central section of the Broadway Corridor.

 

Germany To Reopen 4,000 km of Closed Railway Lines

What is happening elsewhere is not happening here.

Instead, in BC government is squandering  billions of dollars on uneconomic ‘rapid transit‘ lines to suit their electoral and bureaucratic needs.

Rapid Transit is needed infrastructure” is the claim by government, except the politicians making the decisions do not have a clue what rapid transit is or what type of infrastructure is needed.

Years of SkyTrain ‘rapid transit‘ propaganda in BC has lead to the present financially disastrous decisions being made for regional transit in metro Vancouver, Vancouver Island, Metro Vancouver and the Okanagan.

It is a no-brainier to use existing railways rights of ways or lightly used freight lines to extend transit into areas otherwise too expensive to service.

But, alas in BC, what is smart planning elsewhere, is ignored in here as the government and senior bureaucrats wants photo-ops in front of big ticket transit projects, that will eventually beggar the taxpayer.

Sadly, rapid transit has become a very expensive political tar-baby; an expensive addiction that grows more and more expensive with every new line built.

Have the NDP have forgotten the lessons of the “FastFerry” debacle making the same mistakes again?

It seems so!

The Germans understand the the issues very well and one would wish that our politicians would take the time and “read a book on the subject“!

 

Rebuilding a mothballed rail line in Germany

‘Rail comeback’ could reopen 4 000 km of closed lines

9 July 2020

de-reopening-bentheim-crop

GERMANY: More than 200 closed, mothballed or freight-only lines could be reopened to serve 291 towns and a population of around 3 million people, according to proposals drawn up by the Association of German Transport Companies VDV and rail lobby group Allianz pro Schiene.

The two organizations have updated a list of routes proposed for reopening, which was originally drawn up in May 2019. Adding 55 projects with a combined length of 963 km brings the list to 238 lines with a total length of 4 016 km, about half of which they believe could be electrified.

Speaking at a conference on the ‘comeback of rail’ on July 9, Chairman of the VDV Committee for Railway Infrastructure Jörgen Bosse explained that ‘if rail is to be the transport mode of the 21st century then we must look at the whole country and not just at major cities and conurbations or long-distance travel. In Germany around 70% of people live in small or middle-sized towns or in the countryside. For this big majority of the population we need efficient and environmentally-friendly rail services. It’s about protection of the climate and also about equivalence of living conditions.’

Allianz pro Schiene Managing Director Dirk Flege suggested that by taking the opportunity to reactivate closed lines ‘we can halt the decades-long withdrawal of rail from rural areas and turn it round. That’s a recipe for success to achieve a better transport mix in the future’.

The associations reported that 933 km of route had been reopened for passenger traffic between 1994 and 2020, with 364 km reopened for freight. However, over the same period passenger services had been withdrawn from lines totaling 3 600 km, with freight lines also showing a negative balance. The national network had thus shrunk from 44 600 km to 38 500 km.

VDV and Allianz pro Schiene noted that reopening five lines in the most densely populated areas currently without rail service would provide access to trains for 300 000 people.

The two organizations point to changes in the Gemeindeverkehrsfinanzierungsgesetz (Municipal Transport Financing Law) that have improved the options for potential reopenings, stimulating activity at local and Land level to develop viable proposals. ‘We think that this will accelerate the reactivation of closed lines in the coming years’, Bosse predicted.

GERMANY: More than 200 closed, mothballed or freight-only lines could be reopened to serve 291 towns and a population of around 3 million people, according to proposals drawn up by the Association of German Transport Companies VDV and rail lobby group Allianz pro Schiene.

A new German regional rail service.

Motherhood And Apple Pie

Rail for the Valley has been long warning the public about the costs of  subway and light-metro construction costs, which fell on mainly deaf ears.

Rapid transit is a “ motherhood and apple pie” subject and the mainstream media will not report negative news about SkyTrain, light-metro and the real costs involved.

The “other guys” are finding out that fighting “motherhood and apple pie” is tough and the government, at all levels remain oblivious to the huge costs involved.

“What me worry?” is a common refrain from elected officials who have never even tried to study the subject. Fact is, most politicians think they are experts on transit planning. Sadly the truth is otherwise, as the term “rubes” come to mind.

Everyone knows spending more money on transit makes it better. NOT!

Zwei has been chastised many times for being blunt, but unfortunately being blunt is the last option when fighting a “motherhood and apple pie” issues and the “motherhood and apple pie” lie has been repeated so often the the public has come to believe it.

When the first proprietary ALRT light metro was built in Vancouver, politicians deluded themselves that because it had no drivers, it was cheap to operate.

This naive assumption was not true, as the light-metro system was sucking up huge sums of money from the taxpayer’s pie. The exorbitant costs for light metro was so acute that in 1992, the GVRD commissioned a study of the cost of transporting people in the Fraser Valley and the results of the study were astounding.

The subsidy to operate the initial Vancouver to new Westminster light-metro line was more than the combined subsidy to operate the diesel and electric buses!

Politicians of the day ignored this and continued to increase taxes more and more to pay for light-metro and this continues today.

TransLink does not give clear and concise numbers for the SkyTrain subsidy, as it would prove embarrassing how expensive “motherhood and apple pie” transit costs.

Ontario’s Metrolinx found that the 50 year costs for heavily engineered transit projects is very high, burdening tomorrows taxpayer’s with today’s extravagance.

When will our politicians learn the lesson; when will they learn the lesson that throwing money at expensive transit projects only burdens future generations with debt.

Motherhood and apple pie” has condemned the region to high taxes, which will soon explode upwards by building subways and extending the Expo Line a few km. in Surrey due to the dishonest claims by the now mayor of Surrey.

Regional taxpayers will soon wake up to the stench of rotten apples an little pie left for future generations.

**************************

South Fraser Community Rail Society

“Hydrogen iLink Passenger Rail, Scott Rd. SkyTrain to Chilliwack” #connect the valley

 

 

The Hidden Cost of TransLink…. Did You Know?

TransLink once again has made a submission to our Provincial Government for access to MORE taxation sources in the region! This is Shorthand for taking more tax dollars out of your pocket, we say NO, until two things happen –

  1. Determine the NET COVID-19 effect on Transit. What are our needs and priorities, for lower mainland inter-regional transit? What are the value options?

 

  1. Hold TransLink to a stringent financial oversight review measuring value for money before considering any request for more tax dollars!

Let’s glance back in history – A short 5 years ago the people of Metro Vancouver went through a then provincial government mandated plebiscite on TransLink. The Mayors of the region wanted support for a $7.5 Billion regional transportation plan. They asked for support of a 0.5% sales tax to fund Metro Vancouver’s share of major infrastructure projects. A Mail in ballot was called – 759,696 votes were cast! The answer:

2015 Plebiscite –NO! 61.7% no / 38.4% yes

Comments, post plebiscite?

“There is a clear NO outcome, we must respect that” Doug Allen, interim TransLink CEO. Allen repeatedly characterized the results as a vote against higher taxes.

“I’m thrilled” “A tremendous victory for taxpayers” “Of course this was about TransLink” – Jordan Bateman then B.C. Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation.

NOTE: This vote was held in relatively good times, certainly compared to the times we have all been experiencing today into an unknown future, under the cloud of COVID-19.

What is the truth about TransLink Taxation today? Not change! They want more money!

TransLink Tax and Spend is out of control…. Why Commit to $3,200,000,000 when $252,500,000 (only 8%) provides better service, better value and serves more people South of the Fraser?

The Hidden Cost of TransLink…. Did You Know?

Parking Tax

Now 24% (adds 15 cents hr. to aver. $5/hr. per Parking Stall

Property Tax

7% (Incr. 3% per yr. of the TransL. Prop. Tax base per yr.)

Gas Tax

18.5 cents a litre (Highest gas taxes in North America)

 

Transit User Fees

Single use +5 cents to 10 cents/Day Pass +25 cents/monthly passes + $2 – $3.

 

BC Hydro Transit Levy

TransLink brought the regional trans. levy (utility tax on monthly B.C. Hydro Bill) back in 2006. Today that amount is $0.0624 cents per day for a regular single-family dwelling or $1.87 month. There are 960,890 occupied private dwellings in the region equaling $1,798,786. per month or $21,585,432. per yr.

 

Development Cost Charges (NEW Metro Vancouver)

                        effective Jan. 15th 2020                      effective Jan. 1st, 2021          

Single family   $2,100 unit                                         $2,975 unit                            

Duplex            $1,900 unit                                         $2,470 unit

Townhouse    $1,900 unit                                         $2,470 unit

Apartment     $1,200 unit                                         $1,545 unit    

Retail/Serv     $1.25 / ft2                                           $1.25 / ft2

Office              $1.25 / ft2                                           $1.25 / ft2

Institutional   $0.50 / ft2                                           $0.50 / ft2

Industrial        $0.30 / ft2                                           $0.30 / ft2

NOTE – Introduced in 2018, rates come into effect Jan.15 2020 and increase in 2021. This Development Cost Charge fee is just another tax, which makes housing that much more unaffordable to hard working residents trying to afford their first home.       

 

The approved parking tax funding increase approved last Spring were for major projects, the LRT in Surrey (Not SkyTrain to Langley which is under review for a Business Plan since last December, yet to be voted on.) and the Broadway extension.

And TransLink wants more?

We don’t have a revenue problem, we have a SPENDING problem!

TransLink want more of your money while their spending decisions are irresponsible and out of control –

To the latest presentation by the TransLink Mayors Council to the Provincial Government? Township of Langley Mayor Jack Froese, TransLink Mayors Council vice-chairman put it in succinct terms last week and said everything is on the table, from mobility pricing — which was studied two years ago — and land-value capture, to sales tax, a vehicle levy, and carbon tax.” Really, after the region wide plebiscite was rejected a short 5 years ago?

It is interesting that they are making this move complaining about the drop in revenue in fare box, gas tax and parking BUT they said nothing about their recent approval for significant Transit “Development Cost Charge” revenue that just kicked in on January 1st, 2020 with a significant increase January 1st 2021 (above). This significant fee will be applied to single family, Duplex, Townhouses, Apartments, Retail, Office, Institutional, and Industrial property development. They have not yet been able to determine what revenue will be achieved through this new source, and yet they are looking for more!

They did not mention the monthly BC Hydro Transit Levy on your Hydro Bill! The amount? Over $21.5 million per year.

TransLink LossesThey claim it will be between $544 Million and $1.4 Billion by the end of next year and yet they claim all projects are moving ahead as planned? All of this and they just announced they are going ahead with a new $110 Million SkyTrain Control Center that will look after the NEW Broadway Subway Line and the Fraser Highway SkyTrain Line to Langley City despite the fact they are $2 Billion short in funding this project and it has yet been approved?  

Summary on Taxation One thing that cannot be challenged by looking at all of these real numbers, TransLink taxation and spending is out of control. When the Mayor of Surrey runs his election campaign under the Safe Surrey Coalition on two primary promises 1) A change to a City Police Force from the RCMP stating during the election campaign that it would only be a 10% increase to taxpayers (not going to happen) and 2) he promises a change from the approved and funded LRT, Guildford down 104th to Surrey Center South on King George Blvd. to Newton. In their first meeting of this term the Mayors Council changed the Surrey project to SkyTrain from Surrey Center to Langley City on his urging for the same price – $1.65 Billion, and not one penny more said Mayor McCallum.

TransLink has spent over $50 Million in LRT prep costs and Mayor McCallum dismisses it as irrelevant and then TransLink are going to buy into it? That is nothing short of irresponsible! The Mayors TransLink Council has got to put a brake on TransLink and their irresponsible taxation, planning and spending.

What are we hearing now – Gondolas up to SFU and now an on-call Bus system for Bowen Island. We are in serious need of Provincial Government intervention. We are in serious need of the TransLink Council to back off any more votes (no quorum) so that some common sense can be brought back into a responsible Inter-regional Transportation system.

Take a close look at the TransLink taxation and spending decisions that are currently in effect – we cannot continue in this direction! You are and will be paying handsomely for the Surrey / McCallum / SkyTrain debacle, all taxpayers in Metro Vancouver will be paying for this irresponsible decision. It is not too late to change, the Province has not given their final decision.

Again…

“We don’t have a revenue problem! We have a SPENDING problem!”

 

“I was a member of the Mayors TransLink Council, and I got to know and understand up close and personal who is really running things and it is not the Mayors Council but then again, they are allowing this to happen! Taxpayers should be concerned!” Rick Green

 

Sincerely,

 

Rick Green

Former Mayor Township of Langley

Former Alderman City of Delta

President, South Fraser Community Rail Society

 

Bill Vander Zalm

Former Premier of British Columbia

Former B.C. Minister for Municipal Affairs and Transit

Former Mayor of the City of Surrey

TransLink’s Fear Of The Future And “The Interurban”

Early advertising for the proprietary ICTS/ALRT rapid transit system. In the end, only seven were built, including Vancouver, all with huge government subsidies. Modern light rail made ALRT rapid transit obsolete overnight. Question: Why does TransLink plan for obsolete rapid transit?

 

From Wiki:

Rapid transit or mass rapid transit (MRT), also known as heavy rail, metro, subway, tube, U-Bahn, metropolitana or underground, is a type of high-capacity public transport generally found in urban areas.Unlike buses or trams, rapid transit systems are electric railways that operate on an exclusive right-of-way, which cannot be accessed by pedestrians or other vehicles of any sort, and which is often grade-separated in tunnels or on elevated railways.

Notice, no mention of light rail as LRT is not rapid transit.

This so called fact sheet is designed to misinform, yet the City of Vancouver, abetted by TransLink, continue to make false claims about SkyTrain and light rail without any government or media fact checking.

False claims include:

  1. SkyTrain rapid transit has a limited capacity of 15,000 pphpd, as per Transport Canada’s Operational Certificate.
  2. LRT can travel as fast or even faster than SkyTrain rapid transit, if designed to.
  3. LRT has proven to obtain capacities in excess of 20,000 pphpd
  4. Streetcars can obtain huge capacities; example Karlsruhe Germany, where one streetcar line obtain capacities in excess of 30,000 pphpd.
  5. Speed for rapid transit is higher, because it has fewer stations per route km., thus overall travel times tend to be higher using rapid transit, rather than light rail.

What TransLink doesn’t mention is that light rail, offers all the benefits of rapid transit but, without the huge costs associated with subways and elevated construction.

TransLink’s planners should understand this, but it is not reflected in current transit planning.

Much of the success of urban transport in the past 40 years in weaning the car driver from his or hers car is due to light rail and not rapid transit.

This is TranLink’s rapid transit dirty little secret, by continually planning and building ruinously expensive rapid transit on routes that modern light rail would have been just as successful, if not more so, in attracting new ridership.

Our friend Haveacow raised five points about TransLink’s rejection of an interurban style passenger rail service from Vancouver to Chilliwack.

1. If Translink keeps to narrowly defined geographically limited rail planning corridors, and continually offers nothing but a hugely expensive, built from scratch rail lines that, travels the dead centre of the corridor, then that’s all you ever get and anything else always looses when comparing against it.

2. If the planning agency, in this case Translink, doesn’t do anything but this same approach you never get new ideas and all your rail planning and the lines you end up building will at some point suffer from the same basic flaw or series of flaws.

3. Arguing that Translink should use a different type of train doesn’t change their limited focus when planning. It’s their focus in design and planning that really needs to change. Things like operational cost vs. service scale, the geographic scale of the service area and passenger catchment areas are just a few the many issues that the endless horizontal expansion of the current rail technology makes worse.

4. A simple well designed rail system can make up for initially starting with a more limited capacity and operations by being more adaptable and cost effective. This is where Skytrain as a technology, isn’t anywhere as adaptable or cost effective compared to the planned operating technology for the Interurban Line, given the vast area it will operate in.

5. Translink doesn’t seem to understand that unless new ways of planning and especially in their case, implementation processes are looked at, new solutions never happen. Yes, the Interurban Line would require negotiations with railways. I don’t think there really against the Interurban Line, they just don’t want to ever have to negotiate operations agreements. It’s so much easier to just own everything they operate, they set the rules. They just don’t get many new ideas this way.

TransLink’s continued planning for light-metro has left the region in a transit deficit and the taxpayer paying much more than he/she should (an estimated three times more), to keep TransLink’s ossified planning continuing.

Metro Vancouver has now become immune to new ideas and new operating philosophy and instead keeps planning and building the same thing, ever hoping for different results. This has been designed as madness.

Reinstating a Vancouver to Chilliwack rail service using 21st century versions of the interurban, which has proven extremely successful elsewhere, is ignored.

The rot at TransLink has been there too long and sadly the entire operation is sinking into a planning and financial morass, where there is no escape and the the big question is is, how much taxpayer’s money will bleed from ill designed and dated transit projects before regional, provincial and federal politicians will take notice?

TransLink Doubles Down on Rapid Transit

TransLink, is the study of dichotomy.

While the rest of the world has deemed light metro (including our SkyTrain light-metro system) obsolete because of cost and functionality, TransLink happily spends massive amounts of money planning and building more.

Hint: Only seven of the now called proprietary Movia Automatic Light Metro system (as used on the Expo and Millennium Lines) have been built in over fourty years and only three are seriously used for urban transport.

In the rest of the world, planners utilizing existing railway lines to affordably extend urban transport to areas otherwise too far away to service by building new railway lines.

The former BC Electric Interurban once traveled from Vancouver to Chilliwack and with current tracks still in use, the line can once again operate a passenger rail service at a starting cost of $800 million for a basic hourly service.

While TransLink is spending $4.6 billion to extend the MALM lines a mere 12.8 km, $800 million can provide 100 km of route, servicing sixteen communities and fourteen post secondary institutions. A 20 minute service would cost around $1.5 billion, still one third the cost of 12.8 km of
“rapid transit”.

TransLink claims they have studied the line, but so has the Rail for the Valley Group. Rail for the Valley engaged Leewood Projects (UK) to do a study of the old interurban route and found that such a service was viable.

Hint: The Leewood Study makes a mockery of TransLink’s studies.

The Leewood Study was done by a rail specialist and was vetted by engineers who did work in Canada and even has passed muster with Transport Canada.

TransLink’s studies are done by career bureaucrats wanting to continue their six figure annual salaries by pleasing politicians, who in turn want to please their political supporters.

Hint: Just look what happened to two of TransLink’s best planners, Tamin Raad and Brian Mills, who opined that there wasn’t the ridership on Broadway to justify a subway – they got fired within two weeks!

TransLink’s ossified planning is done strictly to please regional mayors and politicians in Victoria and has nothing to do with providing an affordable and user friendly regional transit service. Photo-ops and self congratulatory news releases are the order of the day.

Hint: Zwie has been told that TransLink’s great fear is that the Valley rail project will attract far more new customers to transit than TransLink’s and the Mayor’s council on Transit’s $4.6 billion, 12.8 km light metro extensions.

The paper pusher’s at TransLink know damn well that “rapid transit” cannot be affordably built in Surrey, nor in a subway under Broadway, but the CEO of TransLink does not have the moral fortitude to say so, as earning a very generous six figured salary is far more important.

As TransLink doubles down on “rapid transit” it maybe sowing the seeds of its own demise.

 

The real costs for "rapid transit" (subways and light-metro) are far higher than TransLink or the regional mayor's are telling the public and for good reason, because if the public knew the real cost of "rapid transit" they would revolt.

 

Interurban passenger rail not a solution, says TransLink

 
Sandor Gyarmati/ Delta OptimistJuly 2, 2020
interurban passenger rail

TransLink is throwing cold water on the proposal that would see interurban passenger rail on a 99-kilometre corridor that would run from the Pattullo Bridge to Chilliwack.
Photograph By Pixabay

Interurban passenger rail service is not rapid transit and is not the project the region needs today.

That’s according to TransLink, responding to former Delta councillor and Langley mayor Rick Green’s recent critical comments on the direction of the transit authority and Mayors’ Council.

In a letter to the current Delta council, Green poked holes in TransLink’s plan to move forward with a SkyTrain extension into Surrey, noting it’s not too late to go back to the original light rapid transit project.

Green, representing the South Fraser Community Rail Society, said it’s long past time the TransLink board of directors rethink and review their decisions and planning related to both SkyTrain, light rapid transit and the interurban south of the Fraser proposal.

His group is advocating interurban passenger rail by re-activating an old interurban line, a 99-kilometre corridor that would run all the way from the Pattullo Bridge to Chilliwack.

The proposed system would use hydrogen rail, a propulsion system that has a fuel cell device, converting the chemical energy contained within the hydrogen in order to generate electricity.

Ladner resident and former premier Bill Vander Zalm is also a member of the society and has been critical of the scrapping of a pervious light rail plan in favour of the SkyTrain extension.

In a previous interview, Vander Zalm noted that when the track rights were sold during his time in government, the freight rights were sold, the province ensured the right to have passenger service was reserved for the line.

However, TransLink in response is pointing to a “facts sheet” which outlines why the interurban rail idea wouldn’t work, stating the interurban corridor has been studied as a potential route for passenger rail service twice in the past ten years – first with the B.C. Ministry of Transportation’s strategic review of transit in the Fraser Valley in 2010 and then with TransLink’s Surrey Rapid Transit Study in 2012.

The results led to the interurban passenger service not being included on the list of regional priorities.

“However, our plans for the region identify the need to connect Surrey Centre and Langley with reliable, high capacity, high frequency transit. The Interurban community rail proposal is a different kind of project and meets a different set of goals and is not a comparable option to SkyTrain along Fraser Highway. TransLink is committed to exploring future options with municipalities and other partners,” TransLink states.

interurban rail

The South Fraser Community Rail Society said TransLink found it necessary to launch an attack on the interurban proposal by pulling out outdated and flawed reports

TransLink also notes, among other things, interurban passenger rail would provide less than 20 per cent of the capacity as SkyTrain, it does not connect key regional destinations like Surrey Central, thus reducing its potential ridership, and it would provide much slower travel times and much less frequency than rapid transit, and therefore attract much lower ridership than faster, more direct rapid transit along Fraser Highway.

The transit authority also notes Southern Railway holds the right-of-way for 85 per cent of the rail route, while CP holds the rights for 15 per cent, which means TransLink would have to negotiate with rail companies at a cost for any use of the line for passenger service.

TransLink also notes freight traffic is expected to increase and it will further increase once port expansion at Roberts Bank will be complete.

TransLink adds any viable passenger rail service would require the construction of at least one additional track at its expense

“There is no agreement allowing the provincial government passenger rail service rights for the entire line – this is simply false. Commercial agreements for passenger rail service would need to be negotiated and obtaining rights would come at a cost. A great deal of costly infrastructure would be required to run bi-directional service – much more than claimed by Interurban supporters. Higher capital costs and lower ridership would mean that the cost per ride would be 10 times higher than SkyTrain,” TransLink told the Optimist in a statement.

TransLink also noted switching Surrey Langley SkyTrain out for Interurban passenger rail will delay any rapid transit investment south of the Fraser for years at minimum.

“This project is not a part of the RTS or the Mayors’ Council’s 10-Year Vision, nor does it fit with the Metro Vancouver Regional Growth Strategy. A new investment plan and significant research would be required to conduct an independent study on the feasibility and business of this project. Pushing interurban as an alternative to SkyTrain, risks our ability to provide rapid transit for south of the Fraser. The argument that the Surrey Langley SkyTrain should not be built because it does not get to Langley fails to accept the fact that all of the existing SkyTrain lines have been built in phases.”

The South Fraser Community Rail Society has accused TransLink of flawed reports, assumptions, conclusions and misrepresentations.

The interurban corridor is not owned by CP Rail or Southern Rail, the group states, noting they only own the freight rights with significant restrictions, and that the corridor is owned by the people of B.C.

Passenger and freight service on the line legally must be shared equally, so if double tracking is required, CP Rail is legally bound to do so at their expense, the group contends.

“This is a positive community initiative which has unfortunately turned into a public fight against irresponsible governance by TransLink Staff over the past year. Our SFCR Group will not back down or be intimidated in the face of what we see as an out of control bureaucracy attacking a very legitimate option that should be properly considered and analyzed,” a letter to the Mayors’ Council and TransLink board stated.

From The South Fraser Community Rail Society

South Fraser Community Rail Society is one of many groups, along with Rail for the Valley, working for a reinstatement of passenger rail service to Chilliwack.

 

South Fraser Community Rail Society

“Hydrogen Link Passenger Rail, Scott Rd. SkyTrain to Chilliwack” #connect the valley


There is the reality…. a Better Choice!

Widening Highway #1 will happen over time….

But it IS NOT the solution! Here is Why…. Unless you want to wait for 30 years!

Mayors, Councillors, MLAs and MPs past and present have promised Highway widening suggesting it is the priority and it will happen? This is a totally disingenuous argument! Two current examples on the realities of widening; first 202nd to 216th and second the just added 216th to 264th phase. All of the discussion has been about adding 1 HOV lane each way which is what my following calculation is about! IF it were about two lanes you could double the time and cost required.

The following is the time reality in terms of financial, planning and construction phases. These are real numbers and not a politicians dream! There promises are impossible! While we will continue to campaign for widening and it will happen over time, it will take a few decades and when finished we will be worse off than we are today unless we initiate an affordable and effective public transit option like Passenger Rail. Express Buses on Highway #1 do not work, they get tied up in the same congestion we are complaining about and trying to solve! 

  • 202nd to 264th = 13 kms at a total cost of $294 million (cost shared, Prov., Feds and TOL) started in 2017 due to finish in 2025 (8 Years).
  • Distance, Langley to Chilliwack is 56 kms @ 3.25 kms per 2 years equates to finishing an HOV lane each way by 2051, over 30 years from now!
  • The exponential increase in growth and traffic will out strip the benefits of widening by three times than what it is today! Based on projected growth, in 8 years, by 2025 (finish of latest project above) traffic will be worse than it is today!
  • The above suggests that all Provincial, Federal, and Municipal budgets align annually, planning started now and did not stop until finished. Estimated total cost of widening in 2018 dollars – over $1.2 Billion! It will not solve our problem!

NOTE: The Township of Langley contributed $41,433,000 on the two projects above, is a precedent now set for Provincial/Federal projects? What will it cost Abbotsford and Chilliwack? Are they prepared to commit those dollars?

Do you want to continue to put up with this?

OR the option of State-of-the-Art Hydrail Service!

Hydrail Passenger Rail…. Some Facts!

 

…. 1,000 Kms per full tank of fuel!

…. 15 minutes to refill a tank!

…. Up to 300 passengers per train!

…. A Green Alternative to heavy polluting diesel, completely emission free!

…. Perfect case, showing leadership with CleanBC; provincial legislation!

…. Incredibly quiet service!

…. Estimate 90 minutes travel time, Pattullo Bridge to Chilliwack or less!

…. Estimate 30 minutes travel time, Langley City to Pattullo Bridge or less!

…. Estimate 30 minutes travel time, City of Abbotsford to Langley City or less!

…. Estimate 45 minutes travel time, City of Abbotsford to Newton or less!

…. 99 KM Rail Corridor, protected for passenger use, at no cost for use!

…. Serves 16 Communities and 14 Post Secondary Institutions!

…. Serves Fraser Valley First Nations, Tourism and Agi-Tourism!

The Interurban Passenger Corridor….

 

Despite the fact Hydrail on the Interurban is a perfect environmentally friendly CleanBC solution….

There is NO other reasonable and affordable option that provides access to affordable housing and supports an improved quality of family life!

 

A Sudsy Trip to Chilliwack?

Doing research for a group on the amenities a tram or TramTrain may bring to a region, I discovered an new sort of tram, the “Beer Tram”, a pub on wheels!

Helsinki, has one, Brno has one, as does Fukui,  Nagasaki and several other cities in Japan have them. In fact several cities in Europe have these little gems.

Maybe a pub tramtrain service from Vancouver to Chilliwack, using a vintage interurban will, let’s say, lubricate the politicians to support reinstating a passenger interurban rail service!

Just sayin……………

Pub tram in Helsinki, Finland

 

Beer tram in Fukui, Japan

Brno Beer tam

Beer taps in a tram!

 

Inside Bruno pub tramBrno beer tram, salut!

TransLink Collides With A Financial Iceberg.

 

Covid-19 has sent a chilling economic message to TransLink; “can it afford the proposed $4.6 billion, 12.8 km extensions to the light-metro system?

TransLink, through taxes, must ante up a sizable amount of cash to pay it’s share of the projects, but if TransLink’s income collapses and cannot pay, what then?

The aftermath for Covid-19 and a vastly escalating federal deficit will see higher taxes and user fees in Canada and there will be little stomach among metro Vancouver taxpayers to ante up more taxes to an outfit already held in high odor by the taxpayer.

TransLink has now collided with the financial iceberg and one wonders when senior bureaucrats start floating higher taxes and fees onto an already over burdened taxpayer to fund what is largely a prestige project.

Which politicians will stake their reelection  by providing higher taxes to TransLink?

The trouble for TransLink, financing the $4.6 billion rapid transit scheme will be like rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic.

Loss of $1.4 billion worst case revenue scenario for TransLink with COVID-19 pandemic

by Carlito Pablo on June 24th, 2020

TransLink lays out four scenarios, and the least dire involves a revenue loss of $544 million.

The worst of the four potential situations is referred to as the “Paradigm Shift”.

It involves “major new outbreaks”, forcing a return to lockdowns. Return to normal is years away, or sometime in January 2023.

Under this Paradigm Shift, a “high travel demand” setting means that TransLink is going to lose $1.2 billion in cumulative 2020-2021 revenues.

Most of the projected losses will be fares, at $795 million.

In a “low travel demand” situation under the Paradigm Shift, TransLink expects to lose $1.4 billion, which is the worst.

Most of the anticipated revenue losses will be fares, at $881 million.

The least dire of the four scenarios is called “Quick Recovery”.

This means a return to pre-COVID 19 conditions by July 2021.

Still, TransLink will be bleeding.

Under this scenario, the transportation authority expects to lose cumulatively between 2020 and 2021 revenues ranging from $544 million to $945 million.

The numbers are found in a report by Geoff Cross, vice president of transportation planning and policy with TransLink.

Cross’ report is in the agenda Thursday (June 25) of the Mayors’ Council on Regional Transportation.

 

Emergancy Plan….What Emergancy Plan?

TransLink has a problem.

As discussed before, TransLink’s ridership performance is reported in “boarding’s” and the transit system is so designed to force transit customers to “board” several times throughout their journey. This of course, greatly increases boarding’s.

Transit customers from South of the Fraser are forced to “board” four to six times a day to complete their journey, due to being forced to Transfer onto the Canada line and transfer again to a bus.

The high boarding’s numbers that TransLink releases to the media certainly makes them look good, which makes politicians look good. For those not in the know, seems that TransLink seemingly impressive numbers are akin to a shaky pyramid scheme.

During the Covid-19 crisis, the pyramid scheme collapsed, collapsing the revue stream as well.

The issue that TransLink keeps quiet about is that the light-metro system and trolleybus system are very expensive to operate and maintain and much of the operating costs are fixed costs, thus leading to huge financial shortfalls.

What really interests me is that TransLink did not have an emergency plan. This is odd because living in an earthquake zone, with the province telling everyone one should have a plan in case of an earthquake or similar disaster, TransLink does not.

That TransLink does not, is not surprising at all because they don’t even seem to have a coherent snow plan either as transit customers are rudely reminded of, with every snowfall.

There should be a plan that in case of emergency core bus routes remain open, such as a route from South Delta to Vancouver, without transferring to the Canada Line. The plan should include the gradual withdrawal of service on routes that are not carrying a meaningful number of customers.

These core routes, no more than ten, should be actual routes operating on schedule service that are deemed essential in an emergency and kept operating at all costs.

I admit, the Covid-19 crisis is different, but it showed TransLink’s naked underbelly of having no emergency plan, except coming cap in hand to the provincial and federal governments for more money, to operate buses with little or no customer demand.

Coronavirus: TransLink ridership just one-third of normal, losses estimated at $500M to $1.4B

By Simon Little Global News

Officials with Metro Vancouver’s transit agency are painting a clearer picture of how badly the organization’s finances have been hit by the COVID-19 pandemic.

At its annual general meeting Thursday, TransLink said daily ridership fell to about 223,000 people in April, and more than doubled to about 472,000 people by May.

That’s still only about a third of its pre-COVID daily ridership average of 1.5 million.

The steep decline in ridership has translated into major losses. TransLink said if Phase 3 of the province’s pandemic reopening plan were to start soon, it stands to lose about $500 million this year.

In a worst-case scenario, with a second wave of the virus, it said the losses could amount to $1.4 billion.

TransLink CEO Kevin Desmond said he still doesn’t know where funding to fill that gap would come from.

“We are working with the province, we’ve been working with the province very extensively for weeks now,” said Desmond.

“We’ve also had many many contacts with the federal government. We have a number of different ideas.”

Earlier this spring, TransLink issued about 1,500 layoff notices and proposed major service cuts to try and offset losses.

Facts Don’t Seem To Matter – TransLink Gaslights The Truth.

Gaslighting:  a form of psychological manipulation in which a person or a group covertly sows seeds of doubt in a targeted individual or group, making them question their own memory, perception, or judgment, often evoking in them cognitive dissonance and other changes including low self-esteem. Using denial, misdirection, contradiction, and misinformation, gaslighting involves attempts to destabilize the victim and delegitimize the victim’s beliefs. Instances can range from the denial by an abuser that previous abusive incidents occurred, to the staging of bizarre events by the abuser with the intention of disorienting the victim.

When it comes to regional transit and regional transit planning, TransLink’s gaslighting rules.

Three issues which TransLink’s gaslighting has been a success.

  1. SkyTrain is not a proprietary transit system.
  2. Broadway is the most heaviest used transit route in Canada, no North America
  3. LRT is in inferior
SkyTrain is a proprietary transit system.
The question those claiming that SkyTrain is not a proprietary transit system, would be restated to; Since when did the proprietary Movia Automatic Light Metro cease to be a proprietary transit system?
*
SkyTrain is the name of the regional light-metro network and not the commercial train used.
*
The Canada line uses EMU’s made by ROTEM.
*
The Expo Line used the  the proprietary Advanced Light Rail Transit (ALRT) system, renamed from the original Intermediate Capacity Transit System (ICTS), developed by the Urban Transportation Development Corporation (UTDC), an Ontario Crown corporation.  The later  Advanced Rapid Transit (ART) cars (MK.2’s), which came with the Millennium Line, were produced by Bombardier after it acquired the remains of the UTDC after it was returned to the Ontario government when Lavalin went Bankrupt.
*
Lavalin briefly owned the proprietary railway, renaming the proprietary transit system Advanced Light Metro (ALM) but the UTDC was returned to the Province of Ontario, after Lavalin went bankrupt trying to sell the often renamed proprietary transit system to Bangkok.
*
The MK.3 cars so boasted about are just again renamed when Innovia line of light metros were cascaded into the Movia line metro systems.
*
Strangely enough Bombardier does produce a proprietary SkyTrain system, but it is a rubber tire proprietary airport people mover system.

Bombardier's real proprietary SkyTrain transit system.

The key to the now called Movia Automatic light Metro (MALM) being proprietary is the use of Linear Induction Motors and the steerable axle trucks as no other company offers an “off the shelf” product compatible to operate son the MALM Lines.

As one German Engineer told me; “One just cannot slap on a pair of LIM’s on a conventional bogie (truck) and expect it to operate!

The steerable axle truck, and LIM, the key to the proprietary light metro.

Broadway is not the busiest transit corridor in Canada.

The hype and hoopla that Broadway being the the heaviest used transit route in Canada, no North America is a common refrain one reads in the mainstream media and hears on the radio or TV, made by politicians and bureaucrats.

Sorry it’s not true.

According to a to letter I revived from TransLink:

Finally, on January 31, 2019, you contacted several news organizations and this Secretariat raising concerns
over TransLink’s assertion that the 99 B-Line is the busiest bus route in the US and Canada. TransLink is
confident in its data collection and peer comparisons, noting that the 99 B-Line route on the Broadway
Corridor moves 60,000 customers per day on articulated buses running every three minutes at peak times.
This is our region’s most overcrowded bus route. Pass ups are already common, as our regular riders on that
route are fully aware. TransLink projects that the 99 B-Line from Arbutus to UBC will be at capacity in the
peak when the Millennium Line extension from Commercial-Broadway to Arbutus opens.

Cutting through the TransLink speak of this reply, TransLink only admits to Broadway being “our region’s most overcrowded bus route” and nothing more. What seems to be causing overcrowding is not heavy use, rather poor management because the capacity offered by B-line buses is under 2,000 persons per hour per direction at 3 minute headway’s.

Why not offer peak hour 2 minute headway’s for the 99 B-Line and increase capacity by 50%; much simpler and affordable than a $3 billion subway.

Broadway in the rush hour - Busy but not gridlocked.

Light rail is not inferior.

TransLink’s anti LRT screed is laughable and in the real world, they would be “thrown off the stage” with the drivel they peddle.

It seems TransLink’s six figured salaried bureaucrats can’t or won’t read transit history for if they had, they would know that only seven of the now called Movia Automatic Light Metro proprietary transit systems have been built over the past 40 years, under six different names. During the same period well over over two hundred new build Light rail systems have been built and most of the existing streetcar/ram systems have been upgraded or partially upgraded to light rail standards.

No MALM system has been sold in the past decade.

Modern trams, today can obtain capacities beyond 20,000 pphpd on portions of their routes at peak hours. This is why modern light rail has been so successful due in part for its ability to carry heavy passenger loads when need be. This is part of the flexibility of service inherent in modern light rail.

Today, the modern tram can operate as a mainline passenger train, a light-metro, light-rail and a streetcar all on the same route! Modern LRT has a proven record of attracting motorists from the car creating a viable modal shift from car to transit.

The last forty years has seen an unprecedented investment either building new or refurbishing existing transit systems around the world. It is a field where success is eagerly copied and what is deemed poor avoided. During this time, no other city has copied Vancouver’s transit planning, nor has copied Vancouver’s exclusive use of light-metro.

Sadly, Translink’s “gaslighting” has so perverted transit planning in the region, that there is absolutely no hope is any coherent transit planning for the foreseeable future, leaving Vancouver with a “museum piece” transit system, too expensive to deal with today’s transit ills.